One of the main functions of government is to consume excess
production, hopefully in a socially constructive manner, and so maintain the
price level. Keynes suggested this, as a solution to inadequacies of demand,
but it must be done even in 'good' times, and adjusted, for bad. That is,
government consumption must be increased during recession or depression. Further, the government must redistribute even
more as industries become more capital intensive. To do this in perpetuity, government’s debt
cannot get out of hand, but must be constrained as a percentage of GDP. This means collect more taxes, and these must
necessarily be collected from the rich.
First, the wealthy consume less as a percentage of their
income than the rest of the population. They save more. On the other hand, since
the government will spend all it collects in taxes, collecting more in taxes
from the rich will be economically stimulatory. That is, the economic multiplier on taxes on
the wealthy is greater than one. This
implies a strongly progressive tax to stimulate the economy.
Indeed, from the point of view of economic stimulus, there
is no point in taking taxes from the poor, or even much of the working class,
when their savings is very low. Any
money taken as taxes from the poor would have been spent anyway, and so would
not provide net stimulus to the economy.
What is more, a certain rate of savings in the middle and lower classes should
generally be seen as desirable, since it would act as an automatic
stabilizer. Money would be saved during
good times, helping to slow down the economy, and dis-saved, or spent, during
recession or depression, helping to stimulate the economy, thus helping to
smooth economic fluctuations.
Further, as the owners of capital, an increased share of
market income will go to the wealthy as industries become more capital
intensive. More demand, that is money,
will have to be redistributed to maintain the market, which otherwise would
slowly contract as labor is increasingly forced out of the productive process. (The
same thing happens in a country as production is off-shored. No country can
afford to have a significant proportion of the goods it consumes to be
imported, unless it has compensating exports.
Thus the need for balanced trade.
See: http://anamecon.blogspot.com/2010/04/effects-of-unbalanced-trade.html) Indeed, given the observation that one of the
government’s functions is to consume excess production, and running a trade
deficit effectively increases that excess,
much of a government’s deficit can be laid at the feet of that trade
deficit.)
Now there is no market for labor forced out of the
productive process. This is because, as unemployed, they do not represent a
market for production. Supply increases,
due to increased capital expenditures, but ultimate demand does not, because
there is no increase in the number of consumers, that is, labor. Demand
increasingly becomes concentrated at the top. (Of course, the wealthy could
spend this money on providing public goods and services to the rest of their
community. They instead rail against government, and do not themselves provide
the things the community needs.)
On the contrary, the absence of a progressive tax is/will be
depressive, and destabilizing, as wealth becomes more concentrated and
inequality increases. One of the causes of this destabilization is that as
wealth becomes more concentrated, the market for commodities and financial instruments
becomes thinner, and subject to greater fluctuations, as fewer people have the greater
concentrations of wealth to invest in the various markets. Meanwhile, the
market for production, represented by the middle and working classes, gradually
contracts in the absence of a progressive tax. The government, for a time, may maintain this
by running up debt. But this is regarded
by many as unsustainable.
Privatizing government functions is counterproductive, since
profits in privatized industries cause an increase in the upward redistribution
of income, which must be counteracted with an even greater progressivity of
taxes to compensate. Indeed, a certain
amount of inefficiency in government spending is a virtue, as it allows wider
dispersion of government expenditures.
What is important is the efficiency with which government
collects taxes from the wealthy, since the primary goal is the constant
redistribution of demand throughout the economy. If it is inefficient in collecting taxes from
the wealthy, too much money will remain at the top, and it will be inefficient
at redistributing this money to the base of the economic pyramid, where it is
needed to stimulate demand. In
particular, the taxes on the wealthy should be increased during recessions and
depressions, that is periods of inadequate demand and excess supply. Of course, that suggests taxes on the wealthy
be decreased during periods of inflation, when they are large, but they are now
already inadequate. We are talking about
a tax rate centered about 65% or so, and adjusted from there, depending on
circumstance: Higher during bad economic
times; lower during good economic times.
Hey lower case greg!
ReplyDeleteLike your blog and this post very much. Could have written it myself (by that I mean I agree with it not that I could have necessarily come up with it)
Ive noticed some comments you've made on other blogs I visit and it sometimes gives me pause because I have wondered before "Did I write that?" You so often say things that I might say myself or wish I had.
Anyway, Ill be back
Upper case Greg
Hi greg. (Hi, Greg.)
ReplyDeleteThis is excellent: Indeed, from the point of view of economic stimulus, there is no point in taking taxes from the poor, or even much of the working class, when their savings is very low. Any money taken as taxes from the poor would have been spent anyway, and so would not provide net stimulus to the economy.
I wonder if it has been taken into account in any of the studies that say the fiscal multiplier is less than one.
Thank yyou for being you
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