Showing posts with label distribution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label distribution. Show all posts

Monday, January 31, 2011

Equal Opportunity

The Right says it favors equality of opportunity rather than equality of outcomes. But equality of opportunity requires equality of capitalization, which the Right is not really in favor of. Opportunity requires the availability of resources.

Equal opportunity is impossible with a mal-distribution of wealth. The OECD notes “:…lack of equal opportunity may affect the motivation, effort and, ultimately, the productivity of citizens, with adverse effects on the overall efficiency and the growth potential of the economy."

Opportunity is (statistically) proportionate to wealth. Therefore, a greater equality in distribution of opportunity requires a greater equality in distribution of wealth.

Indeed, the distribution of resources producing equality of opportunity and that producing equality of outcomes are the same distribution, and is not particularly desirable: All outcomes are equal, and there is no opportunity.

So what we are looking for is that distribution of physical and social resources and opportunities, which most enables society to take advantage of its human resources. This is also the one that allows the greatest opportunity for individual advancement.

Individuals with superior abilities are born at all levels of society. For a society to prosper and compete, it must take advantage of these individuals. To do this, society must invest in these individuals. It must capitalize them. This requires different capital inputs at different stages in individual development.

The most important investment in human capital is in childhood, when the individual must be convinced of the desirability to capitalize himself: To invest time and effort into his own future, as a valuable and valued individual and citizen. First he must have the example of parents and neighbors, which means they themselves must receive adequate reward for effort and initiative. They must have opportunity for, and there must be examples of, advancement. Opportunity, to be taken advantage of, must first be perceived. This depends on the wealth of the community in which the individual is raised. A poor community will have few examples of success, many examples of failure.

The quality of the schools depends on the wealth of the community. In general, poor communities have poor schools: Undercapitalized institutions trying to instruct under-acculturated children. This is especially the case where there is no mixing of funds from other, wealthier communities, as through state wide tax support for education. Many superior individuals in inferior schools will be discouraged.

If the slope of wealth and opportunity is too steep, only the very best will be able to navigate it. And they likely will not get to the most suitable places for themselves. And even these will require some opportunity. Since opportunity is distributed, many of the best with inferior opportunity will not succeed within the parameters of their society, but will find themselves trapped at the bottom. This happens in the best of circumstances, but is aggravated with a mal-distribution of wealth and opportunity. Where there are inadequate avenues of advancement, the management of society will be left to the children of the previous generation of the successful, who will tend to have regressed to the mean. Thus, the society will begin to be managed increasingly by the average and mediocre. This will put it at a disadvantage with respect to other societies. The alternative is to find superior agents, who will then be expected to labor without commensurate reward, on behalf of an aristocracy they cannot join, and who thus will have their own motives for mismanagement. They will also increasingly be opposed by superior individuals from the bottom. Many will be criminals, who will have found paths to legitimate power blocked.


The Right considers redistributive taxes as redistribution of rightful gain, whereas the Left should consider it redistribution of capital. The right would then claim that those with the income have shown they know where to invest capital, since they have received the gains from it. The left would maintain that much of those gains come from the common capital, and must be reinvested in common capital for the common welfare of society, of which the individual is a part.

The whole point of the wealthy sequestering their wealth, isolating it from redistribution, is to secure opportunity for themselves and secure for themselves and their children the effective hereditary privileges of an Aristocracy. This necessarily reduces opportunity available to the non- wealthy. From their point of view, this is reasonable, since opportunity is necessarily also the opportunity to compete with the wealthy. Indeed, the inheritance tax could be called an opportunity tax., since it’s purpose is to prevent the perpetuation of a Plutocracy, and to open up the paths of power to others.

The Right is not really interested in the survival of their society as a society. They pursue the interests of persons as individuals, in particular the wealthy.
So society for its survival, must find the proper gradient of wealth and power, that those individuals all along the power spectrum are continually replaced by those of appropriate ability.

Sunday, October 17, 2010

What the income of the top 1% means to the rest of us

The top 1% of the population now get 24% of the personal income of the nation. They used to get, in the 1970’s, 9% or so. Let’s say the difference is 15%.

What is that 15%? Well, that 15% is 15% of all personal income. (All personal income is about $10 Trillion.) So it is $1.5 Trillion. Now if this $1.5 Trillion was distributed to the other 99% of the population, they would be 15% better off. That is, on the average, they would each be 15% better off. That works out to $7500 for somebody earning $50,000. $1500 for someone making $10,000, etc.

Most of the money would be spent, since most of the rest of the people are living closer to the edge. Figure $1 Trillion spent. That makes for 10 million or so jobs. (Well, figure less. The rich do spend some of their excess money.) And figure $50 Billion or so per year to social security.

Millions would be lifted above the poverty line. It would reduce the need for government expenditures on the poor, and other social programs, by $60 billion or so. ($10K x .15 x 40 Mil people.)

Over $300 Billion per year would go to people who owed mortgages. Millions of these would be able to pay their mortgages. Not all would need it. But for millions it would make a difference. It would put a boost to housing prices, and put a big dent in the bubble collapse.

Now let's compare the income of the top 1% to that of the Federal government. 24% of the personal income of the nation works out to about $2.4 Trillion. The income of the Federal government for 2010 is $2.4 Trillion. The income of the top 1% is equal to the income of the entire Federal government. Federal government expenditures are going to be$3.6 Trillion dollars. The deficit is $1.2 Trillion, or half the income of the top 1%.

Of course we already have that the top 1% pay over 40% of all income taxes. Thanks FOX. All income taxes are $1.06 Trillion. So the top 1% pay $410 Billion or so, or just over 1/6th of their income, or 17%. This tells us where FOX is coming from. Since the government’s share of the GDP consumption is 25% or so, we would expect that percent, 25%, of income paid as tax, even under a flat tax. We may conclude that the top 1% pay a smaller share of their income than the rest of society. (Well, to be accurate, the tax end of the government share of GDP is only 17%. But since almost half of the poplulation pays little or no income tax, the tax paying half, minus the top 1%, pay a higher percentage of their incomes.) Now if the wealthy paid 25% of their income, that extra 8% works out to $200 Billion, or 1/6th of the current deficit. If they paid 40% of their income, as they easily can afford to do, (they would still be far better off than they were in the 70's,) the additional amount would pay about 1/2 the deficit.

But, as we have pointed out before, or elsewhere, they are largely the ones the government borrows from. Clearly it pays them not to pay taxes. And since they are largely in control of government....

See:

http://www.philstockworld.com/2010/08/21/who-rules-america/

Now to say they rule America is somewhat of a misstatement. A proper ruler rules for the benefit of all, if only out of enlightened self-interest. The more correct title is: “Who exploits America.” That they act according to unenlightened self-interest is to all our sorrow. For they have made themselves enemies of the rest of us. In fact, they have made themselves enemies to each other, and to themselves.

They wealthy have the power to save the government. But not the..inclination.
Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. observed that, "taxes are what we pay for civilized society." (See the link.) Evidently, the wealthy do not want a civilized society.

Do the rest of us?