My proposal for copyright reform: 5 years, 5 million copies, or 30 years, which ever comes second.
You have rights to your work for at least 5 years, no matter how many of your work you sell. Suppose you sell 7 million, or 70 million, in 5 years. Then at 5 years, that's the end of it. Your work enters the public domain.
Suppose you only sell 3 million by the end of 5 years. Your rights are extended until you sell another 2 million. Unless that takes more than 30 years.
Suppose your work is something off beat, or scholarly, and is never going to sell 5 million copies. Then you have the rights for 30 years.
Good for books. For movies? If a movie hasn't made its money back in 5 years, it isn't going to.
Comments? Problems?
(Cross posted to: http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2012/12/gop-fires-author-of-copyright-reform-paper.html#comments)
"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it." Frederic Bastiat 1801-1850 political economist __________________________________The velvet glove is off the golden fist. _________________________________________________________________________________________ PLUNDERFEST: Def: What the people of the United States can now look forward to.
Monday, December 10, 2012
Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Winners and Losers in Free Trade.
It is often said, in the justifications of free trade, that
there are more winners than losers. But
this is not quite what is actually the consequence of free trade. It is more correct to say that there is more
winning than losing, but this is not at all the same thing. The winning may be concentrated among a few,
while the losing could be distributed among many, in which case there would be
more losers than winners. Further, the
losers could be among the less wealthy, and thus less able to afford their
losses. Is this what we are seeing in
the new global economy? The rich
winning, and getting very rich, while many others are losing, and hurting?
Friday, October 12, 2012
Inter-Generational Borrowing
Nick Rowe addresses the problem of inter-generational
borrowing at:
The issue is brought up again by Dean Baker: http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/children-and-grandchilden-do-not-pay-for-budget-deficits-they-get-interest-on-the-bonds
If I read Nick Rowe right, he assumes (using a toy economy based on apples,) that A: Apples don’t
last. And concludes: B:
Each generation, in borrowing apples from their children, consumes an increasing share of the apples produced
by their children. That is, each
generation consumes more than they themselves produced, taking from the production
of their children. (The second generation gives to the first, but borrows even
more from the third, etc.) I think this is correct, and is Nick’s point: Inter-generational borrowing is not neutral. Succeeding generations end up short. And Dean Baker, who claims that there is no transfer of wealth with inter-generational borrowing, is wrong.
If I read this right, then the only moral position is to grow the economy at a rate greater than the
increase in (real) inter-generational borrowing. ( Of course, this eventually comes up against physical limitations.)
That is, plant apple trees at an increasing rate, greater than the
increase in inter-generational borrowing. But this requires (it seems to me)
that the present generation consumes less than they would if they hadn’t
borrowed in the first place. That is,
the present generation must invest more than they borrow.
But in terms of the present, real value, this just means the present generation should consume
less than they produce, and invest the rest. The borrowing of money
is irrelevant, except where it affects this.
In fact, the borrowing of money is rather inverted, because
the younger generation is forced to borrow money from the older, established, wealthier
generation, pay that older generation back with interest, and thus end up with a diminished
share of the real pie.
So this is what the government is doing. It is the younger generation
borrowing from the older, who refuse to pay their taxes, and instead consume
more than they produce. Social Security
and Medicare notwithstanding, (Who, after all, will be cheated, if Social Security and Medicare are not adequately funded in the future?) the government, in principle, represents the
interests of the young. Its proper purpose is to invest in the future, which is more the younger generation's than the older.
But the government has been co-opted by the older generation, who,
instead of holding it in trust, exploit it to their own profit.
The Republicans’ stated goal, then, and that of Austerians
in general, the shrinking of government, (especially those parts of government that pertain to investment,) is to cheat the young out of their
interests. This is what we are seeing
in youth unemployment across the globe, so much being taken away that the
younger generation is even being decapitalized.
Here in the US, it is seen as higher costs of college, and lower investment in primary
education, the neglect of infrastructure, etc. (Infrastructure is of greater benefit to the young, since they can expect to use it longer.)
So not only is it the 1% vs the 99%, but it is the old vs
the young.
The problem for the old, of course, is that by decapitalizing
the young, they are decapitalizing themselves.
Because it is on the backs of the young the old hope to take their ease.
Running a trade deficit is also borrowing from future generations, and is thus also immoral, unless it
is done for investment.
Labels:
borrowing,
consumption,
debt,
generations,
government,
government debt,
investment,
old,
wealth,
young
Thursday, September 27, 2012
The Poor Help Prop up the Middle Class
Push up economics:
Many conservative middle class voters are resentful of the poor,
thinking them shiftless and lazy, paying no taxes and often instead collecting
unjustified income from the government. 71
percent of Republicans, for instance, in a recent poll, said “they believed the
poor should not be exempt from income taxes.” Well, the poor are not ‘exempt.’ They just don’t make enough income to make
it to the positive tax rate. Do any of the middle class want to trade places with the poor?
The middle class should be grateful to the poor, and the
labor they provide. The poor often work
hard, for mean wages, making a significant contribution to middle class welfare. Also, as consumers, the poor purchase an important
portion of the production of the middle class, and help keep the members of the
middle class in business and employed. Many middle class businesses, and their employees, owe their
profit margins, and continuing business, to the purchases of the poor. The poor represent at least 15% of the
population, and even if their purchasing power is much less, it is enough to
make a difference. And they provide other opportunities for
middle class income and activity. By
cutting off supports to the poor, or by raising taxes on the poor, the middle
class will do themselves no favor. Indeed,
instead, by providing more opportunity to the poor, by improving their welfare,
the middle class will improve their own situation.
More money comes up to the middle class from the poor, than comes down to them from the wealthy. Indeed, the wealthy take their profit from the middle class.
For a nice summary of some of the functions poverty and the
poor serve for the rest of society, and
in particular the middle class, see Herbert J Gans: “The Uses of Poverty: The Poor Pay All.”: http://www.sociology.org.uk/as4p3.pdf
Thursday, August 16, 2012
Private Wealth, Public Debt, and Taxes
Well, well. Over at VoxEU somebody just connected a couple
of the dots:
“Increased levels of public debt are accompanied by mounting
private wealth, which is increasingly concentrated on the wealthy elite.”
Could there be a connection?
Could the public debt increasingly be
held by a wealthy elite? Could that
wealthy elite be charging their sovereigns rent for the use of the sovereigns
own money, money only owed that elite in the first place because that elite
have used their power over their governments to lower their own taxes? And the governments have had to borrow to
maintain their services, and now they owe that elite too much to ever
repay?
But note the key step:
The elites used their power over
governments to reduce their own taxes, and forced those governments to borrow
from them instead. And now those
governments owe too much, threatening the very stability of the system which
supports their own wealth. Greed, greed,
greed.
At Vox they propose a one-off tax of 10% on the assets of the top 8% of wealth. (The top 10%, in Germany, for instance, own 2/3 of
the wealth.) They figure it will raise
9% GDP.
Good, but not good enough.
The entire increase in the concentration of wealth since the 1970’s has
been engineered by the elites. They
should give it all back. The top 1%
share of the pie more than doubled, for instance, so they should be taxed, on
average, 50% of their assets.
It’s quite remarkable.
They demand disproportionate compensation, because they are so
important, and they run things. But when you ask, who’s responsible for the
increased inequality, they deny responsibility, and point the finger somewhere
else: Education, for instance. Globalization.
They manage the system, and the system is tottering. They take too much out of the system for a
modern economy to support. But is it due
to their mis-management and short-sighted greed? Or can we, they blame circumstances beyond their
control? Well, if they do not run
things, perhaps they are paid too much.
But we know very well who’s responsible for the financial
predicament. Our elites, and their
greed. So taxing their ill gotten gains
is good for us. And good for them. Stave off collapse of the system, on which
they, and the rest of us, depend. Will
they? Or will our elites, who purport to run things, be shortsighted to the
end? If the US elections are any indication…
Friday, August 10, 2012
Saturday, July 28, 2012
The Party of the Rich has Triumphed in its Spead of Disinformation
The party of the rich has triumphed in its spread of
disinformation. Check out this poll by Bob Livingston, “Poll Results: Higher Taxes for the Rich or
More Drastic Spending Cuts,” at personalliberty.com:
Of course, Bob is somewhat to the Right of Center, as are
his readers and the responders to his poll. See Q5. But, among his responders: 60% think that
higher taxes on the rich will hurt the economy, and only 23% voted to increase
taxes on the richest Americans. 76% voted the government should make
significant spending cuts to try to reduce the deficit.
As for where those budget cuts should come from, 0% voted
for cuts in Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid, (except for the 18% who
voted ‘All of the above.’) 22% voted for
cuts to Foreign aid, which is an insignificant portion of the budget. A bit of disinformation there. 27%, (the largest,) voted for the elimination of Federal Agencies (the
EPA, Dept of Education, etc. You know,
things to do with our future, and Justice, the Treasury, including the IRS,
etc., things to do with running the day to day stuff.) Only 7% voted for cuts in the Dept of Defense, despite its legendary wastefulness.
For a more realistic perspective on what can and cannot be
done, check out the NY Times ‘Budget Puzzle’, from Nov 13, 2010: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/11/13/weekinreview/deficits-graphic.html
But the real bottom line, of course, is the coddling of the
rich. Getting 60% thinking that increasing taxes on the rich will hurt the
economy, against all historical evidence, including the evidence of their own
experience. Taxes on the rich haven’t
been lower in most of these readers’ lifetimes, and when during those lifetimes
has the economy ever been in such sorry shape? This is surely one of history’s great
triumphs of propaganda. Getting a
sizeable percentage of the population to
think against their own interests, to identify with those who exploit them,
and to imagine their interests align with those who, over the past 30 years or
so, have taken over 15% of their income, (http://anamecon.blogspot.com/2010/10/what-income-of-top-1-means-to-rest-of.html
) and a greater percent of their wealth, is astounding.
It is also a triumph over logic: What the rich do not pay in taxes, the rest
of the people will have to. What the rich do not pay for defense, or for the
common wealth of the people that is the government, the rest of the people will
have to. Further, who does the government borrow from? The rich.
So the rich are giving their money to the government anyhow, but when it
is borrowed, they expect it paid back, eventually. With interest. And where does that money come from? The people.
And who’s services will get cut? Not the rich’s. The people’s.
When Education, Health and Human Services, Energy, all get cut, who will
be the poorer? Not the rich. You can bet the rich will have the money to
grease the palms of Congressmen to keep their places at the public trough warm
and well stocked.
And who will be at the front lines when the payrolls of
government are slashed? The Wall Street
banker? Or the Main Street small businessman, who
depends on government wage earners, and other government expenditures, directly
or indirectly, for a part of his business.
Friday, July 13, 2012
One of the Main Functions of Government is to Consume Excess Production
One of the main functions of government is to consume excess
production, hopefully in a socially constructive manner, and so maintain the
price level. Keynes suggested this, as a solution to inadequacies of demand,
but it must be done even in 'good' times, and adjusted, for bad. That is,
government consumption must be increased during recession or depression. Further, the government must redistribute even
more as industries become more capital intensive. To do this in perpetuity, government’s debt
cannot get out of hand, but must be constrained as a percentage of GDP. This means collect more taxes, and these must
necessarily be collected from the rich.
First, the wealthy consume less as a percentage of their
income than the rest of the population. They save more. On the other hand, since
the government will spend all it collects in taxes, collecting more in taxes
from the rich will be economically stimulatory. That is, the economic multiplier on taxes on
the wealthy is greater than one. This
implies a strongly progressive tax to stimulate the economy.
Indeed, from the point of view of economic stimulus, there
is no point in taking taxes from the poor, or even much of the working class,
when their savings is very low. Any
money taken as taxes from the poor would have been spent anyway, and so would
not provide net stimulus to the economy.
What is more, a certain rate of savings in the middle and lower classes should
generally be seen as desirable, since it would act as an automatic
stabilizer. Money would be saved during
good times, helping to slow down the economy, and dis-saved, or spent, during
recession or depression, helping to stimulate the economy, thus helping to
smooth economic fluctuations.
Further, as the owners of capital, an increased share of
market income will go to the wealthy as industries become more capital
intensive. More demand, that is money,
will have to be redistributed to maintain the market, which otherwise would
slowly contract as labor is increasingly forced out of the productive process. (The
same thing happens in a country as production is off-shored. No country can
afford to have a significant proportion of the goods it consumes to be
imported, unless it has compensating exports.
Thus the need for balanced trade.
See: http://anamecon.blogspot.com/2010/04/effects-of-unbalanced-trade.html) Indeed, given the observation that one of the
government’s functions is to consume excess production, and running a trade
deficit effectively increases that excess,
much of a government’s deficit can be laid at the feet of that trade
deficit.)
Now there is no market for labor forced out of the
productive process. This is because, as unemployed, they do not represent a
market for production. Supply increases,
due to increased capital expenditures, but ultimate demand does not, because
there is no increase in the number of consumers, that is, labor. Demand
increasingly becomes concentrated at the top. (Of course, the wealthy could
spend this money on providing public goods and services to the rest of their
community. They instead rail against government, and do not themselves provide
the things the community needs.)
On the contrary, the absence of a progressive tax is/will be
depressive, and destabilizing, as wealth becomes more concentrated and
inequality increases. One of the causes of this destabilization is that as
wealth becomes more concentrated, the market for commodities and financial instruments
becomes thinner, and subject to greater fluctuations, as fewer people have the greater
concentrations of wealth to invest in the various markets. Meanwhile, the
market for production, represented by the middle and working classes, gradually
contracts in the absence of a progressive tax. The government, for a time, may maintain this
by running up debt. But this is regarded
by many as unsustainable.
Privatizing government functions is counterproductive, since
profits in privatized industries cause an increase in the upward redistribution
of income, which must be counteracted with an even greater progressivity of
taxes to compensate. Indeed, a certain
amount of inefficiency in government spending is a virtue, as it allows wider
dispersion of government expenditures.
What is important is the efficiency with which government
collects taxes from the wealthy, since the primary goal is the constant
redistribution of demand throughout the economy. If it is inefficient in collecting taxes from
the wealthy, too much money will remain at the top, and it will be inefficient
at redistributing this money to the base of the economic pyramid, where it is
needed to stimulate demand. In
particular, the taxes on the wealthy should be increased during recessions and
depressions, that is periods of inadequate demand and excess supply. Of course, that suggests taxes on the wealthy
be decreased during periods of inflation, when they are large, but they are now
already inadequate. We are talking about
a tax rate centered about 65% or so, and adjusted from there, depending on
circumstance: Higher during bad economic
times; lower during good economic times.
Labels:
balanced trade,
consumers,
government,
government deficit,
labor,
privatizing,
progressive tax,
stimulus,
taxes,
trade,
wealthy
Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Regulating Oligopoly and Oligopsony
Regulating Oligopoly and Oligopsony
Having concluded there was a need to regulate oligopoly and
oligopsony, ( http://anamecon.blogspot.com/2012/03/on-need-for-regulation-of-oligopoly-and.html ) we discuss some ways how it might be done. Other suggestions are
welcome.
The problem is the oligopolist produces less than the
competitive equilibrium, and at a higher price, while the oligopsonist buys
less than the competitive equilibrium, and at a lower price.
In dealing with oligopy we wish to decide which oligopies
are most damaging. Those in elastic
markets, for instance, would be naturally limited in their ability to extract
rents, while those in inelastic markets would have greater opportunity, and
given the situation, inclination, to do so.
Similarly, the costs of entry to a market would also set limits on how
much extra normal profit could be collected. Low entry costs would limit the
extra normal profits to low levels, since higher profits would encourage the
entry of other firms into the market.
With damaging oligopy, one way is simply to tax the results.
A problem here is getting the receipts back to the damaged parties. Another problem with this solution is that it
would not affect the oligopist’s equilibrium, to produce at higher prices and
lower quantity produced than at competitive equilibrium for oligopoly, and to
buy at lower prices paid for and a lower quantity than at competitive
equilibrium for oligopsony. That is, it would not eliminate bottlenecks in an
economy. As may be, this approach would be to tax extra normal profits at a
punitive rate, say, 90% of profits over 6% (allowing for a 3% inflation rate.) The point is, by the time oligopy is
manifest, the market is relatively fixed in proportion to the economy as a
whole. Yet because of the price scheme of the oligopy, the market is defective
in size to the economy, and the rent collected goes into the bank, ie taken out
of the economy at large, or goes into buying up assets in the economy at large,
increasing the proportion of ownership of the oligop, at the expense of the
other members of the economy. So one
would wish to force the oligopy to grow to proportion of and at the growth rate
of the economy as a whole. (This is a
mature market problem, not a growing market one. It is not a problem of a company expanding
into an open market, such as Apple, with its product innovations. Extra normal profits here can still be a
problem to an economy, and lead to alterations in the distribution of wealth
and power. But the reinvestment of extra
normal profits in plant is also necessary to expand production to meet the
demand a smaller company cannot reasonably fulfill.)
What is desired is that normal profits are allowed to be reinvested
in the oligopy, while extra normal profits are returned to the economy at
large. In oligopoly, one might gear the
tax to be scaled at 6% on profit per unit produced, (with a 3% nominal rate of
inflation, and a 3% rate of growth.). This would be effectively a progressive
VAT, or value added tax, on the ologopoly. This would incentivize the oligopolist to
produce to competitive equilibrium, since the maximum profit would then be
proportional to quantity produced. (Actually this by itself wouldn’t quite
work, as the oligopolist would just be encouraged to internalize costs, so as
to reduce his ‘profit’ to the 6%.)
Another is to institute price floors in the case of
oligopsony, or price ceilings in the case of oligopoly, at what one would hope
to be nearer the equilibrium price for a perfectly competitive market. One
example of price floors, with oligopsonies, is with minimum wage laws.
A problem here seems to be that one loses the use of price
signals, although this is actually not a problem with oligopy, since the
quantity traded is no longer responsive to prices anyhow. Or more correctly, the price becomes fixed,
and unresponsive over a large variation of economic conditions. In any case,
over a large variation, price and quantity do not respond to the demands of the
economy. While these price levels could just be legislated, probably a more
efficient method would be a competitive buyer, in the case of oligopsony, or a
competitive producer, in the case of oligopoly.
In the case of oligopoly, another option might be to subsidize
production. This option, subsidizing
production, would fail, however, in all cases but the mildest kinks, that is,
where there were numerous competitors in the oligopoly, (or hardly like an
oligopoly at all.) This is because, with
a severe kink, the vertical part of the Marginal Cost MC curve extends through the price axis, or at
least very close, and thus all or most of the cost of production would have to
be subsidized in order to encourage an increase in quantity produced. Otherwise, the quantity for profit
maximization would not change. This would still be useful, in cases like health
care, where the goal was universal coverage.
See: http://anamecon.blogspot.com/2010/03/real-problem-with-health-care-in-us.html
Similarly, just buying up large quantities from the oligopoly
would be very expensive, since you would be buying at the oligopolist’s price,
and providing him his extra normal profit, as is in fact the current US government
policy with respect to the health care industry. Policy should be to force the oligopolist to
sell at a price nearer the equilibrium price.
Again, the situation with health care is different, since if you want
universal coverage, you want to drive the oligopolist’s price to near zero, and
to do so must effectively subsidize the entire production. That is, make health care a public good.
In the case of oligopsony, by competitive, we mean a buyer who
buys sufficient goods to drive the price up to what it would be under
competitive equilibrium. This buyer
would constitute a regulator. And what
would the signals be, that this regulator would look for? He would seek a normal profit for suppliers. (This
assumes that for firms facing the oligopsony, there is no barrier to
entry. If there were such a barrier, we
would expect the situation to evolve into one of oligopoly facing oligopsony. Does
such a market exist at a competitive equilibrium? It would seem to depend on the relative
elasticities of the supply and demand.)
One way this might be shown would be an equilibrium in firms
entering and leaving the market. This
shows how the quantity of suppliers might also be regulated. By increasing the
price and quantity bought, firms would be encouraged to enter the market. By reducing the price and quantity bought,
firms would be encouraged to exit the market.
The idea of government being a last resort buyer of labor
suggests an alternative to minimum wage laws.
The government would enter the labor market and act as a monopsonist,
and bid up wages until the unemployment rate was down to desired levels. Private industries would have to pay this
rate also, or lose employees to the government.
The situation would seem to be more difficult with
oligopoly. The problem with the
government producing to competitive equilibrium is that governments are
notorious for producing inferior products.
Another problem, as in agriculture and education, is what the government
actually does. That is the government
subsidizes production into the face of oligopsonies. This results in producing a surplus of goods
into a buyers market, driving down the prices.
(Indeed, the prices have been driven down so low, in the case of
education, that buyers, the institutions of higher education, must be paid to
accept most of the production of public education. The prices are negative. This is an alternative way of looking at the
distribution of pricings and cost burdens in education. On the other end, businesses refuse to pay
the universities for the production of the universities, their graduates. They do not send clear signals as to what
they want, except in a few career specific employment and unemployment rates.
One way to rein in oligopoly is to promote the production of
substitute goods. The development and
subsidy of alternative energy sources, for instance, would moderate the action
of oil and coal oligopolists, which is one of the reasons they oppose alternative
energy sources so fiercely.
As another alternative, the government could employ the
aggressive use of anti-trust legislation, to prevent the formation of
oligopoly. Probably a figure of providing 20% of the market would constitute a
member of an oligopoly. Thus, keeping firms
below that size would prevent the kink from becoming too pronounced. A problem arises, when the oligopoly faces
oligopsony, or monopsony, as in retail supermarket chains, with their limited
shelf space. By hindering one, one
encourages the other, and oligopsony can be as socially destructive as
oligopoly.
Another possible solution is to separate the functions of
the oligopy, making one part into a quasi-utility, and eliminating costs of
entry to the other function. Thus, for
instance, (as was done with British rail) providers of cable TVcould be
separated into parts, one which merely operated and maintained the cable, and
the other which provided the content, paying the operators of the cable a fee. The operator would be a regulated monopoly,
and the content providers would be competitive, the costs of entry, one of the
prerequisites for oligopoly, minimized. The
same could be done with cell phones, the towers being regulated, and selling
their bandwidth, which they would seek to maximize, for a fee.
Health care in the US is an instance of oligopoly. Actually
it is an instance of several different oligopolies. One is medical equipment supply. Another is pharmaceutical supply. Locally hospitals form oligopolies. (Hospitals are an obvious choice for
regulated utility.) Finally, a limited
supply of doctors and other medical personnel creates an effective oligopoly to
health care consumers. Production of
health care is restricted, driving up prices. Buying from the oligopoly will
not change this, and indeed can be expected to further drive up prices.
For industries requiring a high level of maintenance of
resources, such as farming, further regulation might be required of producers,
to prevent depletion of assets in efforts to temporarily acquire extra normal
profits. Progressive taxation would be
helpful here, since it increases the present value of future returns, rather
than exploitation of the resource for immediate returns.
Labels:
health care,
labor,
oligopoly,
oligopsony,
oligopy,
regulation,
taxation,
wages
Wednesday, June 13, 2012
Milton Friedman: "The Social Responsibility of Business is to Increase its Profits," is Wrong
Milton Friedman, "The Social Responsibility of Business is to Increase its Profits," is wrong.
In his famous article, “The Social Responsibility of
Business is to Increase its Profits,” (originally published in the New York
Times Magazine September 13, 1970, see eg:http://www.colorado.edu/studentgroups/libertarians/issues/friedman-soc-resp-business.html) Milton Friedman quotes himself from his book Capitalism and Freedom:
"there is one and only one social responsibility of
business–to use it(s) resources and engage in activities designed to increase
its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say,
engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud.”
This is his concluding line in an article dedicated to denigrating
the idea of “social responsibility” in businesses, and in particular by corporate
executives. For a corporate executive to act in a “socially responsible”
manner, Dr. Friedman posits that “it must mean that he (the corporate
executive) is to act in some way that is not in the interest of his
employers.” That is, any act, (not
geared to maximizing profits,) in excess of the minimum required by law and
custom is not in the interests of his employers.
His conclusion is at least naïve. Clearly, a business can increase its profits if
“it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and
free competition without deception or fraud." How much easier, though, to maximize its
profit by externalizing all costs, by capturing and corrupting government, and
altering the rules of the game to its convenience? How much easier to profit by eliminating free
and open competition, and legalizing deception and fraud?
Dr. Friedman criticizes the 'socially responsible' postures taken by executives in and prior to 1970. He further condemns
socially responsible behavior by smearing it with the ‘socialist’ paint brush: ”This is the basic reason why the doctrine of
"social responsibility" involves the acceptance of the socialist view
that political mechanisms, not market mechanisms, are the appropriate way to
determine the allocation of scarce resources to alternative uses.” Here Dr. Friedman makes no compromise. He
essentially claims that market mechanisms are the only way to determine the allocation of scarce resources, denying any
limitation to or failure of markets, or any use for political mechanisms of
allocation. But pollution control, and work
place safety, are political
allocations of resources, and ones which would be opposed by market mechanisms. The failure of
the market in the US
to provide universal health care is another case in point, assuming universal
healthcare is desired by a majority of the people.
Milton Friedman's claim that the sole social responsibility
of business is to increase its profits, places businesses into an adversarial
relation to society. That is, businesses
become the enemies, the exploiters, of the society of which they are a
part. The logical conclusion of Dr.
Friedman’s statement is that it is not a
part of the social responsibility of business to behave in a socially
responsible manner. His implication,
although I don’t think he realized
this, is indeed quite the opposite, that a business should behave in a socially
irresponsible, and even socially destructive, manner, if this increases its
profit. This position is schizophrenic. It is as if the hand was encouraged to act
against the interests of the body of which it was a part.
There are ways of increasing a business’ profits which are
damaging to the society of which it is a part. Indeed, it is a tendency of business
to seek to externalize all costs. Thus, to pollute, to ignore worker safety
regulations, to engage in mis-representation if not fraud, etc. If the business
is in competition, and these things are permitted, it must do them, since its competitors, similarly situated, will also
do these things. Its competitors, if
allowed to externalize costs by polluting, will do so, and so it must
also. Its competitors, if allowed to externalize
costs by skimping on worker safety, will do so, and so it must do so also. Further, business will seek subsidies by the
government, and taxes by the government on its competition.
The conclusion of Dr. Friedman’s position implies the
necessity that the corporate executive act without conscience. This is necessary, since any operation of
conscience within the confines of the executive’s office would be contrary to
the profit maximization principle under which the executive, as an employee of
the owners, is obliged to operate. Indeed,
profit maximization obligates the corporate executive to pollute and otherwise
externalize all costs, so far as practically permitted, and to undertake the corruption of the regulating
bodies, that is the corruption of government.
But where is the
root of his error? Consider this quote
from the article: “Society is a collection of individuals and of the various
groups they voluntarily form.” Society
is hardly a mere collection. It is
dynamic, and its dynamic is non-linear. Society is not merely the collection of
individuals, or even the mere collection of their actions. The
effect of everybody doing a thing, is quite different from the effect of just one
or a few persons doing that thing. Society is more than the sum of its parts. A
business is more than the sum of its parts.
And the actions of businesses, and the other parts of society, combine
in non-linear, and synergistic ways. There are returns of scale, and greater
returns on the scale of integration of an entire society. A business unconcerned with these interactions
does society, and itself, disservice. Dr.
Friedman’s conception serves to atomize and divide, and reduce those social
returns to scale, impoverishing society.
This is what we have seen, in the triumph of his error, and the rise of
those who subscribe to it.
Consider instead a purely operational, and self-interested,
definition of conscience: seeking to do that which is ultimately best for one’s self:
Seeking the larger good, with the expectation that one’s own welfare
will be improved if that larger good is enhanced. We do assume that the executive is interested
indeed in maximizing the profits of his company. Then a goal of the business executive
is the optimization of his society, (and by optimizing we can here mean purely maximizing the economy's growth rate,) since in an optimum society, his
corporation itself is optimized, and in the long run, its profits maximized. Thus, the executive with conscience will seek
to participate in, and encourage the development of, a well regulated market, one which will enhance the value of
his business to society, since in such a market growth is optimized for all
businesses. Therefore, rather than
corrupting the regulators, he will seek regulation which maximizes the
efficiency of resource allocation. Rather than competing in a race to the
bottom, he will seek effective regulation that will encourage all businesses to
good behavior. The business man of conscience, therefore, will speak out
against corruption, and the capture of government by other businesses. As this
will be in his own long term best interest.
The corporate executive’s duty to his employers is not uncritical
obedience to the principle of short term profit maximization. Long term
maximization requires the long term survivability of the society of which it is
a part.
Neither do the owners enjoy all incidents of property. Ownership of property in any society is not
an absolute. It entails duties. Society, and its government, retain the most
important incidents of property, and this implies the obligation of the owners to
”socially responsible” behavior. All individuals
in society, by voluntary agreement, undertake this.
While it is beneficial for each business to
pursue its narrow interests, even to act in an unethical manner, (which Dr.
Friedman in the larger sense implies is OK as long as it is within ‘the ‘rules
of the game,’) it is bad for each business if all businesses act so. Where all businesses sacrifice the larger
good, sacrifice their ‘responsibility to society,’ for their narrower
interests, all are poorer, and all lose. Where all businesses sacrifice the larger good, the larger good contracts.
Even the winners lose. Therefore, it is in the interests of each business, to
see that other businesses act in an ethical manner. Thus, that the business exists in a well
regulated market, and not a corrupt, environment.
We take Dr. Friedman to his logical conclusion, and that business
indeed exists in an adversarial relationship to society, that its ultimate
interests are contrary to the interests of society. Then there is no intrinsic restriction to its
activities in that society: There is no
limit on the things it can, or should, do, to gain profit. So business should
seek to capture government, and seek to ‘free’
itself from the constraints of regulation, and mitigate or corrupt that regulation.
Then when business captures government, and
corrupts regulation, it must be that the government also acts contrary to the
interests of society. Therefore, it is
in the interests of society, that the separation of business and state remain
inviolate. The Supreme Court’s decision
Citizens United, therefore, must be considered inimical to society, at the least
a terrible mistake, and those who support it, and profit by it, society’s
enemies.
Clearly, it is in the interests of failing executives, and
failing businesses, to corrupt government, and to legitimize deception and
fraud. Failing at production, they seek success through corruption. Instead it is in the interests of successful executives and businesses to seek a
well-regulated environment, and good government.
Society is captured by men who do not believe that the
larger good is to their benefit, and therefore seek their own narrower
self-interests, to the destruction of the larger good, and ultimately their
own.
That our government is captured by executives and businesses, many of which would otherwise fail, that is to say, are not producers in any real
economic sense, and so could not compete in a free and open market, bodes ill.
Executives and corporations have taken Dr. Friedman's statement to heart. His prescriptions have, so far as they have been carried out, done untold damage to
the economy.
Labels:
business,
corporation,
fraud,
health care,
Milton Friedman,
social responsibility,
socialism
Thursday, May 31, 2012
Progressive Taxation Encourages Investment
Progressive taxation can be an important tool in conserving
natural resources, since it increases the relative present value of future
returns, by reducing the returns to immediate exploitation of the resource. Consider an example: A capital good, a wood lot, say, provides an
income stream of $100,000 in perpetuity.
Now, if the tax is flat, and the resource can be cashed out, for
$2,000,000, and invested at interest for 5%, then the owner would be
indifferent to exploiting or conserving the resource. On the other hand suppose, with a progressive
tax, the $100,000 was taxed at a miniscule rate, and the $2,000,000 at
50%. Then the owner would have to be
able to invest the $1,000,000 that remained after taxes at a 10% rate in order
to be indifferent to preserving or exploiting the resource. If this rate were unavailable, he would be
more interested in conserving, rather than exploiting, this resource.
Indeed, progressive taxation increases the relative present
value of any future income stream, and so encourages investment in the future.
Labels:
investment,
present value,
progressive tax,
resources,
taxes
Tuesday, May 8, 2012
The Extraction of Money from Communities in the New Economy
The sound you don’t hear is the sound of money being sucked
out of your community. But you can see
it. Walmart is merely the biggest. Target, Home Depot and Lowes. Best Buy.
Staples. McDonald’s and Wendy’s, Burger
King. The old standards like Penny’s and
Sears. Even PetCo, Starbucks and ToysRUs. CVS and
Walgreen’s. The grocery chains. Shell and Mobil and Sunoco. And then of course the big banks, Bank of America ,Wells Fargo, the
rest. They are pervasive. Everywhere.
And what are they? They
are all extractive industries.
And that is what they extract? Money.
Money from your community.
And this is a new thing, this reorganization of the American
economy. It used to be, in the days of
mom and pop stores, of locally owned factories and family farming, of small
banking, that more of the money remained in the community, helping to maintain
the flow of resources within and through the local economy. Factories and farms
brought in the money. Returns of
production costs of the product went to the community. Merely the cost of the materials which it
used in manufacturing went outside the community, and this it recouped through the
price of selling. The community also retained the profit, when the owner of the
factory was local. See Diag 1, the factory in the Old Economy. (The
sizes of the arrows within each diagram are merely indicative. The important thing is the difference in
sizes of the arrows between the
diagrams. Remember also the flow of
money is opposite to the flow of goods and services. When goods go out of the factory, and are
sold in the Rest of the World, money flows in.)
The factory is a part of the community.
The factory brings money into the community by selling its product to
the Rest of the World outside the community.
The only money it exports is for the material and energy which goes into
making that product. The rest of the
money goes either to the workers, or to the owner.
The workers, and the owner, who was a part of
the community, spend some of their money in the Rest of the World, but spend
most of their money in the community. It
is thus more likely that the amount of money retained by the community is
greater than the money which leaves the community. So the community prospers and grows.
(Note, however, it grows by extracting money from other
communities. With a constant money
supply, this is a zero sum game. One
community’s gain is another community’s loss.
Indeed, for a community to grow without deflation, it must have an
influx of money. And it is difficult
for a community to grow with deflation, because under deflation, on average,
businesses are nominally losing money.)
The ‘Old Economy’ is no longer. Now the profit goes to the headquarters of
the giant corporations. And to their owners, who take the money
extracted from your community and spend it in theirs. This makes their communities prosperous,
while yours declines. See Diag 2, the factory in the New Economy. The diagram is really no more complicated. All
the flows of money are in the same directions. The extra solid arrows indicate
increases in money being spent. The
clear arrows indicate money which is no longer being spent. Thus in Diag
2. the extra arrow going from the
factory to the Rest of the World is the increase in costs due to the fact that
the factory must buy its factors from oligopolies, while the clear arrow
indicates money lost due to increased competition and the fact that it must
sell to oligopsonies in the Rest of the World.
The money going to the owner does not necessarily change, but now, since
the corporate owner is no longer in the community, the profits from the factory
also leave the community. Facing
oligopsony, the Factory’s return is minimized, reducing profits and forcing the
reduction of overhead. This means
replacing workers with machines. So the
capital costs leave the community, and the lost jobs reduce income to the
community. The clear arrow from the
Factory to the workers in the community represents the reduction in income to
the community due to decreased payrolls, a result of increases in productivity
and mechanization. Since the workers, as
well as the factory, are now buying from oligopolies, more money leaves the
community through them, and the clear arrow to the community indicates that
less is retained by the community. Thus
the direction of the flows are the same, but the quantities are different, with
more of the money from the operation of the factory leaving the community, and
less staying in the community.
While it is possible for this community to also be
prosperous, it is more likely, than in the old economy, that it is not, but
rather that more money is being taken out of the community than is coming
in. It is still possible for the factory
to be operating at a profit, that is the money coming into the factory is
greater than the money going into the rest of the world and the workers. The
owner is then making a profit. However,
it is more likely, than in the old economy, that the money going to the workers
is also less than that leaving the community.
Thus, the community would be in decline.
We can make a similar comparison of diagrams between old and
new economies by studying the flow of money through their respective
stores. In the old economy, the store is
locally owned, in the new, corporately owned.
Consider Diag 3,
the store in the Old Economy. The store is locally owned. Money
comes into the community from outside, say through a factory. It could be farm production, or just the
returns from the labor of members of the community in other communities. Some is spent at the store, some circulates
through the community, some leaves the community through other channels. Of the money spent in the store, some goes to
the Rest of the World, that money the store spends on products there. But much, even most, is retained by the
community, as wages, as profit to the local owner, as money paid to local
producers. Of the profits paid to the
owner, some are spent in the Rest of the World, some spent in the community. In any case, a relatively high percentage of
the money spent in the store remains in the community.
Compare this to Diag
4, the store in the New Economy, in
a ‘typical’ modern community. This is
the chain store, owned by a distant corporate owner. (Some of these are
franchises, locally owned, but all sending a cut to the distant
corporation.) Again, the diagram is really
no more complicated than the first one, the store in the old economy. The flows of money are all in the same
direction. The added solid arrows
indicate an increase in the flow of money, the clear arrows a decrease. Money comes into the community from outside,
through what the community produces.
This may be farm production, the production of a factory, or the labor
of members of the community in other communities. This is reduced from before (clear arrow from
Rest of World to Community,) because the Community faces oligopsonies. With a chain store, there is an increase in
flow into the Rest of the World. First,
of course, the profits of the store go to the corporate owner, and leave the
community. This is also indicated by
the clear arrow from the Corporation to the Community. Second, there is little or nothing bought from
local producers, so that arrow now points into the Rest of the World. Finally,
there is the increase in money due to the fact that the goods the store buys
are now bought from oligopolies, and thus at a higher cost.
This last needs to be discussed, because it is not so clear
cut. While the chain store faces oligopolies, it is often an element of an
oligopsony, and thus can command lower prices for the goods it buys. Further, there is the natural savings due to
trade. (But this tends to drive out the
local producers.) What is certain that it can, with its volume purchases,
command prices from its suppliers lower than a locally owned store, and thus
put the locally owned store at a competitive disadvantage. This reduction is indicated by the clear arrow
from the community to the store. Indeed,
because of this, the chain, so far as it presents substitutable goods, tends to
drive the locally owned store out of business, and replace it.
But to continue, the chain store, where it is larger than
its competitors, can reduce labor costs two ways. First, through more efficient labor
practices, that is selling a greater volume of goods per unit of labor, and
second through oligopsony in the labor market, driving down the costs of labor
to a minimum. It tends to drive wages
down to the minimum, actually. This is
indicated by the clear arrow from the store to the workers. Since the workers also face oligopoly in the
rest of the world, the flow of money from the workers to the Rest of the World
increases. Together these factors reduce
the amount of money the workers circulate in the community. This needs to be discussed.
The cost of labor to the store is really a zero sum for the
community. The greater the labor costs,
the more the community must pay. The
less the labor costs, the less the community must pay. But in either case, the
money comes back to the community as wages paid to the workers. So it
is really only a factor in the chain store competing against local businesses,
lower labor costs allowing lower pricing and thus greater competition against
the local business. This forces down the
price of labor in the local businesses, so long as they remain
competitive. It does change the
distribution of money in the local community, reducing the share available to
low wage earners, but this is another matter.
Aside from the differences due to oligopoly and oligopsony,
the two major differences are the profits
leaving the community to the corporate owners, and the money that leaves the community
instead of going to local producers. As
in the new factory economy, the bottom line is the increase in money flowing
out of the community, and the decrease in money flowing into the community,
making it more likely, than in the old economy, that the community may be
losing money rather than gaining it, and so be in decline. If we realize that a prosperous community is
only a few percentage points to the good, that is, the community typically
makes only a small ‘profit,’ this is a significant difference, and may mean the
difference between success and failure.
And a successful community may be an extractive community,
that is, one that relies on the extraction of resources from other communities.
We have indicated how successful factory
communities extract money from other communities. But we look now at Diag 5, the Store in Owner Communities.
The arrows have been simplified and reduced,
but otherwise it is the same as Diag 4,
except the corporate owner is a part of this community, and is responsible for
a great influx of money into the community.
Indeed, the owner may be the major, or even the only source of money to
the community. (By owner here, corporate owner, we don’t necessarily mean just
the owner per se. For instance, in a
community with a corporate headquarters located in it, all the staff of the
headquarters would be included under the term ‘owner.’ Even a corporate engineering office would
qualify, (although that could also be analyzed as a factory, as could the
headquarters itself.) Not that they are necessarily
actually owners, but rather that their employment is dependent on the flow of
money from distant stores and factories.)
In any case, the inflow the sum of profits extracted from
many communities, is more likely greater than the outflow. For oligops living in communities distant from
the ones they exploit, the fate of these other communities is secondary to
their profits.
And what are the symptoms of excessive extraction?
Well, you can tell the poor communities, because few of the
extractors mine there. The money is
gone. The ore has been played out. Oh,
perhaps the inferior extractors, like Dollar Tree, or Family Dollar, or the
Payday Loan check stops, still plough the poor soil. But the better ones, even many of the not so
good ones, have left. Those that
require the rich ore, the high end extractors, the Bergdorf’s, the Saks, the
fashion boutiques, the Abercrombie & Fitchs, the Aeropostales, who require higher margins from their smaller
volume; the Apple stores, have long
gone, if they ever came.
A community may
benefit from trade, where it is a net producer of goods, but this is
increasingly difficult. Free trade
exposes a community to oligopsony and oligopoly. Oligopsony minimizes the benefits the
community receives from its own production, whether it be factory, or farming,
or mining. Oligopoly maximizes the
extractions from the community, of goods sold in the community. So a community may suffer from trade, even
when it remains a producer. It will
likely benefit, where it is an extractor/owner community, but theses are
comparatively few. A community either
benefits from the advantages of trade, or instead suffers extraction, of which
a deficit in the public budget, is one aspect. As money is sucked out of the community,
unemployment rises, and locally owned businesses decline. The tax base erodes. The schools decline,
and maintenance of roads and infrastructure deteriorates. The public commonweal is destroyed.
Corporations are not interested in the typical communities
of America ,
except as a source for the extraction of money. Indeed, according to Milton Friedman, their only social responsibility is to increase their profits. That is, their interest is in the destruction of the community. Look at Apple. They send their
jobs to China
and their profits to Lichtenstein. They
do not love America . America to them exists only to be exploited. Their store is here. They are interested in investing in stores
here, but not so much in factories. This
is because in a community which is still a source of extraction, which still
has money, everything costs more. And
this means the cost of labor, and thus the cost of production, is higher.
That is why corporations are not investing in America ,
except in extractive industries. They
are not investing in producing in America ,
because it means investing in the communities of America , and they have yet to be
depleted by the extractive actions of these same corporations. The costs are high, because of oligopoly, and
the returns are low, because of oligopsony, oligopoly and oligopsony these corporations themselves inflict.
As for the extractors, they cannot spend their money fast
enough. And, because they cannot spend
it fast enough, they put it in banks, often overseas. From there, it makes its way back to the
front banks in the US ,
where it is loaned to members of your community, and the interest is
extracted. Or they invest it in other
extractive industries, other retail chains, or factories overseas. The products of these factories are used to
extract money from the communities in which they are sold. And the money from
the production of these products, no longer made by factories in the community,
is extracted by these overseas factories.
And the cost of shipping from overseas is also extracted.
We come to an interesting conclusion. As long as there is money to be extracted,
extractors will come, with their stores, and seek to extract that money from
the community. (But worse is Amazon,
which you do not see. Amazon spends nothing in your community. The entire monetary value of the imported
product is extracted from the community. Because those brick and mortar stores you do
see spend most of their overhead in their respective communities, at least the
community retains that, and the damage is less.
But Amazon and the rest of the mail order companies spend nothing, and
are engaged in pure extraction.)
And the members of
the community become a party to the destruction of their community, and their
own destruction. Because the extractors do
not bear the cost of supporting the community, they can sell at lower
prices. And the members of the
community, in perceived self interest, benefit from these lower prices. But
their community does not, because the money saved is merely spent at other
stores, and still exported from the community.
Not enough money is retained by the community to maintain the money
supply in the community, and that supply declines, along with the community
welfare. It could be said that the community consumes itself to death, as
increasingly each act of consumption, in the New Economy, costs the community
money.
Labels:
community,
corporation,
economy,
exploitation,
extraction,
factory,
money,
oligopoly,
oligopsony,
owner,
store,
trade
Tuesday, April 3, 2012
Links to NPR: Money in US Politics
Here's a link to an NPR episode on money in US politics. You probably don't know how bad it really is:
Here's the teaser. Just 10 minutes:
Should make you want to listen to the main episode.
This American Life is doing a series, which we will try and keep you up on.
Labels:
advertising,
captive,
Congress,
government,
links,
money,
NPR,
politics,
power,
president,
Supreme Court
Wednesday, March 21, 2012
Links: Bank of America: Too Crooked to Fail
This should make you angry. You're paying for it, and will pay perhaps thousands of dollars for it.
You. Personally. And that may be if you're just lucky, since this sort of things screws up civilizations.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/bank-of-america-too-crooked-to-fail-20120314
Higher taxes. Higher prices. Fewer services. Degraded quality of life.
The bank(s) is(are) half the problem. The essential complicity of our government is the other half.
And more of the same with the so called JOBS bill (Jump-start Our Business Startups) now going through Congress. Investors will have another reason to beware, since it essentially reduces or does away with a lot of pesky disclosure formerly required of companies raising money from the public. Not that that will be a real problem, except to the suckers, er, investors, any company unwilling to disclose is looking for.
Further, there is no reason to invest in an economy that is essentially frozen by excessive rent seeking, and as Matt Taibbi documents, is increasingly run as a Kleptocracy.
And this is the real reason for the decline in IPOs. (IPO is initial public offerings, the stock companies offer when they go public.) After all, disclosure wasn't a problem before Certainly not in the 1990's, when there were hundreds each year, despite the disclosure laws they are now getting rid of.
As far as I can tell, the only difference between Democrats and Republicans is that the Democrats seem to use a little more grease.
You. Personally. And that may be if you're just lucky, since this sort of things screws up civilizations.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/bank-of-america-too-crooked-to-fail-20120314
Higher taxes. Higher prices. Fewer services. Degraded quality of life.
The bank(s) is(are) half the problem. The essential complicity of our government is the other half.
And more of the same with the so called JOBS bill (Jump-start Our Business Startups) now going through Congress. Investors will have another reason to beware, since it essentially reduces or does away with a lot of pesky disclosure formerly required of companies raising money from the public. Not that that will be a real problem, except to the suckers, er, investors, any company unwilling to disclose is looking for.
Further, there is no reason to invest in an economy that is essentially frozen by excessive rent seeking, and as Matt Taibbi documents, is increasingly run as a Kleptocracy.
And this is the real reason for the decline in IPOs. (IPO is initial public offerings, the stock companies offer when they go public.) After all, disclosure wasn't a problem before Certainly not in the 1990's, when there were hundreds each year, despite the disclosure laws they are now getting rid of.
As far as I can tell, the only difference between Democrats and Republicans is that the Democrats seem to use a little more grease.
Labels:
bailout,
Bank of America,
bankruptcy,
banks,
captive,
debt,
evil,
fraud,
government,
links,
morality,
mortgages
Monday, March 19, 2012
On the Need for Regulation of Oligopoly and Oligopsony
A modern economy relies on a robust distribution of assets. This
distribution of assets is necessary for its distribution of income. It has a certain ‘shape,’ and the distributed
income from these assets is necessary for it to maintain that shape. Where ownership and control of these assets
is narrow, the income from these assets goes to a small portion of the economy,
depleting the rest of the economy of the income it needs to maintain itself Even where there is redistribution, there is
loss of efficiency. While this is
recognized with government redistribution, which is why large private interests
often oppose it, it also happens with private redistribution, which tends to
shortchange vital services which are not easy to extract profit from. The privately powerful also have other interests
in opposing or co-opting government authority, since government is, besides
other private interests, the only counter-weight to their own unbridled power. And this power will not always act in the public
interest. Indeed, there is no reason, once it attains a certain magnitude, to
imagine that it would act in the public interest, and instead that it would see
the public as a source of rent extraction and exploitation.
Our point is that while regulation may be a matter of
justice, it is as importantly a matter of economic stability and efficiency.
There is clearly a need for regulation in monopoly. It is in the interests
of the monopolist to produce less and charge more for what is produced, reaping
an extra normal profit. Extra normal
profit translates into extra normal growth.
This results in an increase in the share of the economy going to the
monopolist. When the monopoly is small,
this is incidental to the economy. Where
large, in proportion to the economy, however, it is insupportable in the long
term.
Just as in monopoly and monopsony, we see a need for
regulation in oligopoly and oligopsony, and their combination oligonomy. (When referring to all or any of them, we’ll
use term oligopy, and similarly oligopist.)
The point is that rational
behavior for the oligopist is not the best outcome for society. The oligopolist
will produce less, and charge higher prices, than at competitive
equilibrium. The oligopsonist will pay
less, and buy less, than at competitive equilibrium. Both will reap extra
normal profits. The continuing transfer of wealth to the oligopist leads to
accumulation and concentration of wealth and power, and a depletion of the wealth
from the rest of society, while at the same time shorting the economy of goods
and services it otherwise desires and even needs.
But this is not even in the long range interest of the
oligopist. For the oligopist, his market
must grow at a rate equal to his own.
But by collecting extra normal profits from his market, his market
cannot grow at that rate. His market grows, if at all, at a slower rate, and this rate limits the
rate at which the oligopist himself can grow.
An oligopsony reduces the revenue available to producers
facing that oligopsony. Producers cannot
sell as much, nor can they get the best prices for what they do sell. They are thus discouraged from
production. Fewer enter the market. Production is less reinvested in, becomes
undercapitalized, and tends towards obsolete methods.
When the oligopsony is in labor markets, (and the
destruction of labor union power has essentially resulted in such an
oligopsony,) it has these effects on the investment in human capital. There is greater unemployment, greater
underemployment, and less investment in education, as the labor force becomes
undercapitalized, and tends towards obsolescence.
An oligopoly, where it is a supplier of factors for other
producers, (and even finished goods may be regarded as factors for labor,) has
the same effect. Because the producer forced to buy his factors from an oligopolist
must pay more for those factors than he would if he could buy his goods in a more
competitive market. His product must either be
more expensive, sell for more and at reduced quantity, or, if priced the same, sell at reduced profit. His revenue is reduced. His ability to capitalize his business is
reduced. Production is less reinvested
in, becomes undercapitalized, and tends towards obsolete methods.
The oligopist, because of his power, finds himself in a
situation where he must sacrifice the long range good of society, and thus his
own long term interests, for the short run interests of his oligopy. Putting
it the other way, if he were to seek to better serve his society, he must put
his firm at disadvantage. The only other option is to cooperate with his fellow
oligopists in producing, or buying. to competitive equilibrium, in price and quantity. But this would entail
sacrificing their extra normal profits, and worse, losing market share in the
event any of the other oligopists defected, and ceased to cooperate. (Of course, they could always cooperate to
enhance their extra normal profits, to society’s detriment.) The preservation
of his society is simply not seen in his best interests. This is a situation he
would not be in with more perfect competition, when his interests would be more
closely aligned with that of the economy at large.
And it is a situation of composition. Where oligopy is a relatively small portion
of the economy, the economy can endure the distortions brought about by the
abnormal profits of the oligopy. The
rent collected is not so exorbitant that it cannot be compensated for, at least
to some degree, by the other operations of the economy.
It is worse when
oligopy is pervasive. Suppose the economy consists, somewhat evenly divided, of
oligopy and its market. Then the oligopist is in a quandary. What can he do with his extra normal
profits? It is pointless to invest in
the oligopy’s market, which, limited in profit from facing the oligopy, is
restricted in growth. And it is pointless to invest further in the oligopy,
which, because its market is restricted in growth, itself is restricted in
growth. Since there is no profitable
investment in the real economy, he seeks to invest in the financial economy. But the financial economy is also limited by
the real economy. Financial assets must
eventually be redeemed for real assets, but since the growth in real assets is
arrested by the extra normal profits of oligopy, there is no growth in the real
assets for any growth in the financial assets to be redeemed for. The result is a surplus of money for
investment, with no real profitable opportunity.
This is the important point.
Unregulated oligopy, with its extra normal profits, when it becomes
extensive, arrests the growth of the entire economy. Indeed, the situation is actually worse,
because by continuing to purge the rest of the economy of its normal income, it
can cause the rest of the economy’s revenue to be less than its expenses. Thus, the remainder of the economy, the
oligopist’s market, may actually be forced into contraction. But this is bad for the oligopist as well. For
an oligopolist, it will shift the demand curve left and/or down, thus reducing
the optimum quantity, or the price, or both, depending. In any case, the revenue will be reduced.
With a straight demand curve, shifting it left, down, or
left and down, are all equivalent. With
a kinked, or curved, demand curve, these each result in different diagrams, so
we have to figure what factors will reduce the price, but not the quantity
demanded, and which will reduce the quantity demanded, but not the price, and
which both. We must follow the kink, since
that is where the price and quantity will become fixed at.
If money were taken out of the market for food, say, a good with
a relatively inelastic demand, the quantity demanded would probably not change,
but the price would decline. The demand curve would shift downward, and pa would decline. In the food market it would be price
deflationary. In the more elastic market for luxury goods, the quantity demanded would probably change, but maybe not so much
the price. qa would
shift to the left, but pa
would not change so much. For goods or
services in intermediate elasticity, the demand curve would probably shift down
and to the left, and both pa and
qa
would change.
(And similarly for increases in the demand curve. The demand curve would shift up for inelastic, right for elastic, or both,
depending on the price elasticity of the good or service demanded.)
In analyzing the situation, reducing the economy to just an
oligopy and the rest of the economy, the situation then reduces to the producer-consumer
problem, with the oligopist in the position of the producer. But of course, the
oligopist attains his advantage, and his extra normal profits, not by doing
more, but by doing less, and charging more, and paying less. Rather than contributing his ‘fair
share’ for the economy, of ‘pulling his weight,’ he slacks off, and uses oligopistic power to demand more money for what he does contribute, and to pay less for what others contribute. That is, compared to the rest of the economy,
he becomes a net consumer, the consumer of the purchases of his extra normal
profits. So really, it is more
accurately described as the strong sector vs. weak sector economy, with the strong
sector extracting its rents from the weak sector. See: http://anamecon.blogspot.com/2011/11/morality-and-debt.html
We see here, with oligopy, Adam Smith's invisible hand, rather than acting to the benefit of society, acts to its detriment.
So now that we have established the need, the issue becomes
what techniques can most efficiently counter the redistributionist tendencies
of oligopy.
Labels:
competition,
consumer,
economy,
labor,
oligopoly,
oligopsony,
producer,
profits,
regulation
Thursday, March 1, 2012
Link to Michael Hudson on How Banks Plan
Another gem from Michael Hudson:
“…Everything over subsistence, they’ll want as a loan…”
“…Once the entire surplus is paid to the banks, there’s
nothing (left) over for rising living
standards, there’s nothing over for new capital investment, there’s nothing
over for long term research and development…”
Further, once growth is arrested, so is growth of the bank's
investments. It becomes a fixed income
stream on a fixed asset. Optimum is for
the banks to aim for optimum real growth rate.
But banks can’t do this.
Saturday, February 18, 2012
Oligopsonies in an Economy
Our study of oligopsonies will follow our study of
oligopolies, which the reader will find helpful to refer to. Oligopsonies are another example of the
macroeconomic effects of microeconomic processes. The derivation is based on the idea of the
kinked supply curve, which may be out there but doesn’t seem easy to find. That
oligopsonies create market distortion is well known.
We discuss competitive oligopsonies, where collusion is not
necessary.
For your convenience a little background. Oligopsonies are
ubiquitous. It seems many markets evolve into them. Although consumers do not directly experience
them, (except in labor markets,) they may often occur as the back end of
oligopolies. One oligopsony is the fast food industry, which forms an
oligopsony to meat sellers. It also
forms an oligopoly to cheeseburger buyers.
(A suggested word is oligonomy. See: http://activism101.ning.com/profiles/blogs/oligonomy-defined)
The factors, goods or services which go into the oligopolist’s product, which
are unique to an oligopoly, face oligopsony.
Other examples of (non-labor) oligopsony are 1: Cocoa
market, where three firms buy the vast majority of cocoa. 2:
American tobacco market, where three cigarette makers buy 90% of all
tobacco grown in the US .
3: the culinary herb market.
The various drug
cartels may also constitute a oligopsony
for drug producers, and an oligopoly for drug users.
The characteristics of an oligopsony are 1: It consists of a relatively few, relatively
large, buyers. 2: Each firm is big enough to affect the others.
That is, the prices each firm pays affect the prices paid by the other firms.
3: The goods or services they buy are
similar or identical. 4: There are barriers to entry, such as initial
capital costs. A firm needs to be capitalized to have a profitable use for what
it buys.
Those not interested in the derivation may jump ahead to the
discussion at the conclusion. Those
interested might also find discussions on monopsony helpful. Here’s one:
Since oligopsonies are buyers instead of sellers, instead of
a kinked demand curve, the individual oligopsonist faces a kinked supply curve,
S, which
is also his average cost curve
AC, This is the price he pays for his goods,. Diagram
1 shows this supply curve for a particular oligopsonist. The oligopsonist wants to buy at the kink, a which is at some
price pa,
which is really determined by the market, and some quantity qa,
which is determined by other factors, which we will discuss in the conclusion. In
any event, the kink at which he buys is at a lower price than the price at
competitive equilibrium, (around e)
and a smaller quantity. His total cost
is price times quantity bought, or pa
x qa.
Why does he want to buy at price pa? If he lowers the prices he offers below pa,
to pb,
hoping to save money, none of his competitors will follow. Since his prices are below theirs, and
because they are all buying the same of similar goods, sellers will go to his
competition, and he will lose market share. (Note the assumption that there is
not so much to sell, that many buyers
will have to come to him, anyway.) If the price he offers goes down a little,
the quantity of goods he is able to buy will go way down, to qb.
This is the characteristic of an elastic
supply curve. As you move down the
curve, the quantity the oligopsoninst is able to buy goes down. Since these goods are factors of production,
the oligopsonist can no longer produce at the same scale as before, cutting
into his profit margins.
Suppose instead he raises the prices he offers, from pa
to pc,
hoping to gain market share. Then his
competitors will quickly follow suit, since they don’t want to lose their market
share to him. So he won’t gain market
share, he’ll just be buying at a higher price.
He may, however, buy a few more, at qc,
just because his and everybody’s price is higher. This is
characteristic of an inelastic supply curve.
Since his costs per unit are higher, his profit margins are likely to be
slimmer, since he won’t be producing appreciably more of his product.
Now for a firm to maximize profits, its marginal costs, MC, must equal
its marginal revenue product, MRP,
which is also its demand curve, D. This is always the case, but what does this
mean? The marginal revenue product, MRP, is the use
the oligopsonist gets out of the next unit he buys. This is (mostly) a decreasing function
because of the law of diminishing returns.
This decreasing function is what we show in the diagram. (But we say
mostly because consider our restauranteur buying labor. In his case the first
worker is useless. He is simply not enough to run a restaurant. So his
MRP for
labor starts at zero and increases until
it reaches some maximum, then decreases steadily, since further workers start
getting in each other’s way and contribute an ever decreasing amount to his
total profit. Most analyses ignore this,
and you can, too. For goods, the MRP is usually a simpler, a steadily decreasing
function, although again economies of scale would make it first go up.)
Marginal cost is the increase in cost that results from buying
one more unit. For imperfect competition, as we have in the
case of oligopsonies, MC
is always more than the average cost, AC. (AC is also the supply curve, S, remember.) This is because when you buy more units, you
have to buy them at a higher price, but you have to buy all your units at that higher price. So if
the firm buys 4 units for $60 and has to pay $90 for 5 units, then the marginal
cost of the fifth unit is $30. The
average cost however, is $18, and lower than the marginal cost.
Profit is maximized when MRP
= MC because when MC
is greater than MRP,
it costs more to buy the next unit than you get use out of it. With the figures we used, you would buy 4
units for $60, get use out of them for $100, (manufacture some things you can
sell for $100, say,) and make $40 profit.
If you were maximizing profit, you wouldn’t then buy 5 units for $90,
having use of them for $125, and only make $35 profit.
See Diagram
2. The marginal revenue product MRP curve is
the downward sloping line.
With the kinked supply or AC
curve, the MC
curve is very strange. The ACL and the MCL
curve, the curves below the kink, both start at the same point on the axis, (in
the direction where the arrows come together,) but the MCL
curve ascends more steeply, twice as steep, it turns out. When they reach the
kink, however, the MCU and ACU curves, the curves above the kink, also extend
from a point on the axis, (much lower on the axis) in the direction of the
dotted arrows, so the MCU curve, being twice
as steep as the ACU curve, is much higher than the MCL curve at the kink. (The upper and lower labels
are for convenience. They are just
different parts of the same line.)
What is important is the green line, the marginal cost MCV
curve at the kink, which is vertical.
Now since, when we maximize profit, MRP
= MC, when ever MRP
crosses the green MCV
line, (at the star,) the profit maximizing quantity qa and price pa are going to stay the same. See Diagram
3. The firm, whether its marginal
revenue product curve is MRP1, or MRP2 or MRP3
is going to want to buy the same amount qa, and pay the
same price pa. This will maximize its profit.
Conclusion: Since firms in oligopsonistic competition
tend to be locked in to price, they must find other ways to compete, and
maintain or gain market share. The
leader of a drug cartel, for instance, might resort to escalating levels of
violence to secure market share. (We
make the casual observation that one need look no further than oligopsony, (and
oligopoly,) pricing to deduce a cause for Keynesian ‘price stickiness.’ In an economy rife with oligopsony we would
expect many points of price, and quantity, fixedness, making deflation a uneven
and problematic process.)
Consider MRP3 in Diagram 3. The oligopsonist would not want to
lower marginal revenue product any more, through non-price competition, because
then his profit maximization would occur at a price lower than pa,
and he would lose market share.
However, the opposite can also happen. Since price is, with in a range, independent
of costs, the oligopsonist may decide to increase his MRP,
use what he buys more efficiently, and so increase his profit that way.
Oligopsonies do not consist of identical or identically
sized firms, with identical shares of the market. The quantity a particular
oligopsonist buys at is determined by historical factors, and his ability, or
inclination, to compete in ways which do not affect the price he offers for the
goods or services he buys. Working conditions, for instance, may be one way a
labor oligopsonist may attract a better class of laborer, enhance his MRP, and so his
profits. Historical factors, for instance, most notably their activities during
the period their industry was more competitive and open, determined the
relative sizes of Wendy’s, McDonald’s and Burger King before they filled the
market and became an oligopsony. Decisions
since have changed their relative sizes and profitability.
Another point is that, unlike perfect competition, firms of
various efficiencies can co-exist in an oligopsony, operating at differing
capacities and different economies of scale, each firm collecting its
particular degree of profit. And unlike
perfect competition, much of this profit
is extra-normal. Even an inefficient
firm can make an extra-normal profit.
What other things might we expect? Well, we would expect the transfer of some producer
surplus to the buyer, in the form of his extra-normal profits. (The oligopsonistic
buyer is seldom the ultimate consumer.) Consider that oligopsonies are becoming
economically pervasive. Each of these
oligopsonies extracts its rent, transferring resources from producers, to the
oligopsonists. Indeed, to simplify
considerations, let us just model the entire economy as two tiers, consisting
of an oligopsony and those who sell to it.
Consider first perfect competition, where the economy was efficient and
in balance, Diagram
4.
Supply equals demand and the equilibrium point e, and surplus
is divided between seller and buyer. With oligopsony, Diagram 5, there is a net transfer
of surplus from the seller to the oligopsonists. (the greenish-yellow box) In the real economy, this would be manifest
as lower producer profits. We would thus
expect a gradual decapitalization of producers.
In a labor oligopsony, we would expect decrease
in the welfare of labor, as the increase in the income of the oligopsonist has
to come from somewhere.
Efficiency has also declined because an oligopsony buys less
than the competitive equilibrium production, at a lower price creating what is
called deadweight loss: The blue
triangle in Diagram
5. (I’m not sure if the blue
triangle is exactly the right one, as I am not sure the exact location of the
point of competitive equilibrium in the absence of oligopsony.) That is, the
economy is producing less than it would otherwise, perhaps less than it needs
to. In a labor market, this would imply
increased levels of unemployment. For
instance, since the public sector also supplies the private sector, as the
private sector becomes increasingly organized as oligopsony, we would expect
public sector income, supported by taxes on labor costs, to decrease. We would also expect, due to dead weight
loss, an increasing shortage of public goods.
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It may be that a country with a legislature requiring a super-majority in one of its houses, (here in the US the Senate) is ungovernable.
As the minority, it is in the interests of the Republicans to oppose everything. This will cause the Democrats to be ineffectual in governing, thus increasing the likelihood of the Republicans being elected to the majority in the next election. However, should the Republicans be elected to that majority after the election, it will be in the interests of the Democrats to oppose everything the Republicans try to do. Thus the Democrats will demonstrate the Republican's ineffectualness at governing, and so increase the likelihood of their own eventual return to power. Irrespective of which party is in the majority, the government is ineffectual, and in a permanent state of paralysis.
Now the Democrats may see it in their interests to allow the Republicans full play of their pernicious behavior, hoping that the electorate will become aroused by the offenses visited on them, and return to the Democratic fold. Thus bad laws would not be opposed, but good ones would be. So the country is either ungoverned, or badly governed.
We owe Mitch McConnell a note of gratitude for this lesson in political principles.
(Mostly) posted as a comment at: http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2012/08/if-obama-was-for-it-we-had-to-be-against-it.html#comment-6a00d83451b33869e201676932b53b970b